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Showing posts with label euro. Show all posts
Showing posts with label euro. Show all posts

Friday, July 20, 2012

Euro crisis deepens as time starts to run out for Spain's banks and regions

Spain drags the eurozone closer to the edge of collapse despite winning the backing of finance ministers from the single currency's major economies for a €100bn bank rescue fund

Spain dragged the eurozone closer to the edge of collapse despite winning the backing of finance ministers from the single currency's major economies for a €100bn (£77.8bn) bank rescue fund.

Concerns that Madrid is running out of options to bring down the debts of its ailing banks and bankrupt regions sent the country's borrowing costs soaring above 7.2% – a rate seen as unsustainable for a country that cannot devalue its own currency and is suffering a lengthy double-dip recession.

The bank bailout had been supposed to push down the country's borrowing rates, but the country's problems continue to mount. On Friday the region of Valencia was forced to turn to the Spanish central government for cash help.

That move, together with a downgrade of Spanish bonds to junk status by the credit ratings agency Egan Jones, saw the Madrid stock market suffer its biggest one day fall for two years.

Markets in London, Paris and Frankfurt followed suit with the FTSE 100 falling 1% to 5651. The euro crashed to historic lows against several currencies. Against the pound it fell to 77.72 pence, marking its lowest since the aftermath of the Lehman Brothers collapse in October 2008.

The prospect of Spain standing near the exit to the eurozone with Greece and Portugal had seemed outlandish only a few weeks ago, after eurozone leaders agreed to press ahead with more co-operation and a rescue for Madrid that targeted its banks.

Stock markets climbed and solvency fears eased after the summit, which many saw as provided a lengthy breathing space for politicians to work out a broader rescue package. But the shortcomings of the agreement have once again undermined renewed confidence in the eurozone and sent the bond yields of several countries higher, including Spain and Italy.

Comments by German officials added to the febrile atmosphere with hardliners questioning the eurozone's ability to carry on while southern European countries wrestled with major reforms and public spending cuts.

The Spanish government said a predicted rise in GDP next year of 0.4% had proved optimistic, and the economy would suffer another year of recession. The new forecast that the economy will contract by 0.5% shocked analysts, who said a raft of austerity measures would delay a recovery for several years.

Mariano Rajoy, the leader of Spain's right-wing government, has pushed through €65bn (£50.6bn) of spending cuts and tax rises to meet deficit targets set by Brussels, which are widely blamed for pushing the economy back into recession for another year.

Shortly before the bank bailout was agreed by eurozone ministers on Friday, the Valencia regional government admitted it could no longer fund itself on the markets and requested what is, in effect, a bailout by the Spanish government. Regional governments deliver the key parts of the welfare state, including health, education and social services.

Eastern Valencia said it was asking for central government help as it could not refinance loans that must be paid off this year. Regional vice president José Ciscar did not say how much was needed. "Like other regions, Valencia is suffering the consequences of liquidity restrictions in the markets," he said.

It will become the first of Spain's 17 semi-autonomous regions to tap a new, week-old €18bn (£14bn) fund designed to provide them with liquidity. The fund is part-financed with a loan from the state-owned lottery company.

Valencia, which has long been run by Rajoy's PP, is emblematic of Spain's current crisis. A property crash has hit both regional government income and the region's banks, with its three main banks having to be rescued. Local politicians, meanwhile, have a growing reputation for corruption and frivolous spending.

Valencia mopped up a quarter of the €17bn (£13.2bn) of extra money made available by central government in April to pay a backlog of regional government bills.

Just as Rajoy's government refuses to call the European rescue fund money a bailout, so Valencia's government insisted its request for special funding should not be described as one. "Valencia is signing up to a financing mechanism which other regions will also need in the coming days, without any further measures," Ciscar said.

Last year the regions not only failed to meet government-set deficit reduction targets, but actually increased their joint deficit. Rajoy's government has passed legislation allowing it to take direct control of the finances of regions that stray too far off target.

Analysts believe most regions will miss this year's 1.5 percent deficit target. The government last week asked at least eight of them to revise their 2012 budgets, threatening to take over the finances of some of them.

Analysts at Capital Economics said Spain had suffered a debilitating exodus of funds from its banks and a sharp detioration in its own funding position. As the reliance of the Spanish government on its own banks for funding grows (while the banks themselves are relying on the ECB), so the likelihood of Spain requiring a full-blown sovereign bailout grows too.

European leaders pleaded for calm after signing the final agreement to lend Spain €100bn of funds to underpin its banks.

European Central Bank executive Benoît Cœuré said at a conference in Mexico that it was startling to see international investors fearful of getting their money back from members of the single currency.

However, he said the fundamental measures of economic success were stronger in the eurozone than other developed areas. The eurozone's annual deficit in 2012, he pointed out, is expected to be 3% compared to 8% in the US, and 10% in Japan. He said the eurozone's total public sector debt will reach 90% at the end of the year compared to 106% in the US and 235% in Japan.But his comments were largely ignored as Mariano Rajoy's right wing government went back into crisis mode.


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Saturday, July 7, 2012

Greek PM seeks 'adjustments' to bailout deal

Antonis Samaras wants extension of "deficit benchmarks" by two years as he spells out his government's strategy.

READ THE ORIGINAL POST AT www.aljazeera.com

Wednesday, July 4, 2012

Eurozone crisis: UK's borders 'will be closed' to refugees from Greece and other countries if eurozone collapses

David Cameron has been told that he can make use of extraordinary legal powers to close the doors to European migrants who immigration officers cannot usually prevent coming to Britain.

READ THE ORIGINAL POST AT www.dailymail.co.uk

Eurozone crisis: UK's borders 'will be closed' to refugees from Greece and ...


Daily Mail

Eurozone crisis: UK's borders 'will be closed' to refugees from Greece and ...
Daily Mail
David Cameron has been told that he can make use of extraordinary legal powers to close the doors to European migrants who immigration officers cannot usually prevent coming to Britain.
David Cameron 'prepared to halt immigration of Greeks into UK'The Guardian
UK could restrict Greek immigrantsWexford People

all 1,886 news articles »

READ THE ORIGINAL POST AT www.dailymail.co.uk

Tuesday, July 3, 2012

UK's borders 'will be closed' to refugees from Greece and other failing ...


Daily Mail

UK's borders 'will be closed' to refugees from Greece and other failing ...
Daily Mail
David Cameron has been told that he can make use of extraordinary legal powers to close the doors to European migrants who immigration officers cannot usually prevent coming to Britain.
David Cameron 'prepared to halt immigration of Greeks into UK'The Guardian
UK could restrict Greek immigrantsHerald.ie

all 1,878 news articles »

READ THE ORIGINAL POST AT www.dailymail.co.uk

UK could curb migration if euro crisis worsens: PM

LONDON (Reuters) - Britain could restrict immigration of Greeks and other migrants from euro zone countries affected by Europe's sovereign debt crisis in the event of "extraordinary stresses and strains", Prime Minister David Cameron said on Tuesday.



READ THE ORIGINAL POST AT www.reuters.com

Monday, July 2, 2012

Greece receives remaining 1 billion euros of bailout tranche


Kathimerini

Greece receives remaining 1 billion euros of bailout tranche
Reuters
ATHENS (Reuters) - Greece received the remaining one billion euro portion of its latest bailout tranche which will provide some comfort to cash strapped state coffers, a senior government official said.
Athens to ask for EFSF deal to apply to Greece, tooKathimerini

all 11 news articles »

READ THE ORIGINAL POST AT www.reuters.com

Top ECB official: Greece must fulfill reform targets '100 percent,' cool on ...


Top ECB official: Greece must fulfill reform targets '100 percent,' cool on ...
Washington Post
BERLIN — Greece must fulfill the targets of its austerity and reform program “100 percent” to stay in the euro, a top European Central Bank official said Sunday — offering little hope of substantial wiggle room for Athens and questioning whether it ...


READ THE ORIGINAL POST AT www.washingtonpost.com

Robert Kuttner: Mitigating Merkel's Mischief

Merkel, characteristically, still opposes any respite for the suffering Greeks. It is up to the rest of Europe to isolate her again so that she can reverse course citing changed circumstances. Nor is Merkel willing to seriously rein in the financial speculation against government bonds that turns moderate budgetary problems into dire crisis. This, too, will take the resolve of wiser leaders. Until German reunification in 1990, there was a delicate balance in the European Union, in which Germany was contained within a broader democratic Europe. Germany was an economic powerhouse, but was appropriately self-restrained politically. Given German history, this was only prudent. With reunification, Germany not only became even more potent economically, but began throwing its weight around politically. As Merkel keeps proving, this was not a good idea. The rest of Europe's leaders have now restarted the necessary project of containing German influence again, and not a moment too soon.

READ THE ORIGINAL POST AT www.huffingtonpost.com

Sunday, July 1, 2012

ECB official: Greece must deliver `100 pct'


ECB official: Greece must deliver `100 pct'
The Times and Democrat
Greece must fulfill the targets of its austerity and reform program "100 percent" to stay in the euro, a top.


READ THE ORIGINAL POST AT thetandd.com

ECB official: Greece must deliver '100 pct'

BERLIN (AP) — Greece must fulfill the targets of its austerity and reform program "100 percent" to stay in the euro, a top European Central Bank official said Sunday — offering little hope of substantial wiggle room for Athens and questioning whether it can be given more time to comply.

READ THE ORIGINAL POST AT hosted2.ap.org

Wednesday, June 27, 2012

For UK politics the eurozone crisis will bring the deluge | Vernon Bogdanor

Only the gold standard and the winter of discontent have caused similar convulsions in Britain's 20th century history

The eurozone crisis is now entering its final phase. This week European leaders – the council president, the commission president, the central bank president and the head of the eurozone finance ministers – published proposals for banking union involving the mutualisation of debt. José Manuel Barroso, the commission president, said this is "a defining moment for European integration". But Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, immediately declared that Europe cannot have banking union without political union, since "liability and control have to be in balance".

The pooling of debt requires, therefore, the pooling of sovereignty, with a European finance minister empowered to reject the budgets of member states if they do not conform to eurozone guidelines. Both supporters of the euro, such as Jacques Delors, and opponents, such as the British MP Bill Cash, predicted this at the time of the Maastricht agreement in 1991. But all this, even if it proves acceptable, will take time. The markets, however, operate rapidly and time is one commodity in short supply.

The European leaders' report spells out that "banking union" means decisions on fundamental matters of economic policy previously in the hands of member states will henceforth be in the hands of a eurozone executive.

That will not be acceptable, as Merkel has implied, unless the executive is democratically accountable. She has proposed that in future the president of the European council be directly elected. That is unlikely to happen for some time. But a genuine union would still mean that a member state could be outvoted on its budgetary policy – the centre-left in France, for example, would have to accept that it could be outvoted by the centre-right majority in the other eurozone countries. That is even more unlikely.

There is a second way in which the eurozone might be saved. Fixed currencies, and perhaps monetary unions, can work when one country is prepared to act as a hegemon, accepting responsibility for the working of the system. That was the role of Britain in the pre-1914 gold standard, and the US under the Bretton Woods arrangements until the early 1970s. Between the wars, by contrast, there was no hegemonic power prepared to take responsibility for the gold standard, Britain being too weak and the US unwilling. That was one main reason for its collapse in the 1930s.

Today, of course, Germany is the hegemonic power. But it is using that power to push Europe deeper into recession, so hampering economic growth and competitiveness in the more vulnerable eurozone members – a self-defeating policy. Instead Germany should lower its taxes and raise wages so that other member states find it easier to export to it; and sponsor a fiscal boost for the eurozone, a European Marshall plan. That is unlikely to be done on a sufficient scale while Merkel remains chancellor; and unlikely even if the rival SPD wins next year's federal elections in Germany. In any case, German taxpayers do not want to be hegemons. Survey evidence indicates that nearly 80% want Greece to leave the euro.

The position of the eurozone, therefore, is more akin to that of the inter-war gold standard than the pre-1914 or Bretton Woods systems. And the likelihood is that Greece, and possibly other states, will soon leave the eurozone. This will, initially at least, deepen the recession in the eurozone and Britain. But in Britain, with its coalition government – one part pro-Europe, the other eurosceptic – the political consequences are likely to be as profound as the economic.

Europe has, after all, been highly sensitive politically ever since Edward Heath took Britain into the European Community in 1973, since it raises fundamental issues of sovereignty and national identity. In the 70s it split Labour, leading to the formation of the breakaway SDP. In the 90s, John Major's government was almost destroyed when it sought to ratify Maastricht.

In the 2010 election, the Ukip vote of nearly a million was by far the highest ever for a minor party in Britain. In 21 constituencies the Ukip vote was higher than the Labour or Liberal Democrat majority. If all Ukip voters had supported the Conservatives, a eurosceptic party, David Cameron would have won an overall majority.

If countries leave the eurozone, this will undermine confidence in the British political establishment. It is true that the establishment was divided on the euro. But even those opposed to it subconsciously assumed that European integration was an ongoing process somehow in tune with the logic of history. That assumption is now being destroyed.

It is difficult to think of issues of comparable magnitude in Britain's 20th century history. But in 1931 the crisis of austerity caused by the gold standard led to the collapse of the second Labour government, which could not agree on whether to cut unemployment benefit. The result was the formation of a national government and a realignment of parties.

When asked what would happen if Britain left the gold standard, Philip Snowden, the Labour chancellor, threw up his hands and said "the deluge". However, the national government that succeeded Labour faced a naval mutiny at Invergordon in protest at wage cuts, and was forced off gold. "No one told us we could do that," lamented Sidney Webb, a Labour ex-minister; the pound floated, Britain in the 1930s came to enjoy economic growth of nearly 4% per annum, and by 1934 most of the cuts had been restored.

A second comparable occasion was the winter of discontent of 1978-9. Until then, the great and the good had said that government could only be effective through a social contract with the trade unions. Anyone who tried to govern without that consent would cause confrontation such as had destroyed the Heath government in 1974.

That belief was shattered by the widespread public sector strikes, which resulted in a walkout in Great Ormond Street Children's' Hospital, cancer patients being sent home from hospital in Birmingham, and the dead in Liverpool being buried at sea. The British people found themselves peering into an abyss in which civic order and decency had broken down. The winter of discontent realigned politics and signified the end of old Labour. The party was to remain in opposition for another 18 years.

No one can predict what convulsions the eurozone crisis will cause. But its political ramifications are likely to prove both massive and fundamental.

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Merkel rebuffs pleas for debt action on summit eve

Demonstrators wearing masks depicting Merkel, Rajoy, Monti and Hollande, pose as they simulate playing a soccer match to protest against the euro zone debt crisis, in RomeBERLIN/MADRID (Reuters) - On the eve of a crucial summit that could determine the future of the euro zone, German Chancellor Angela Merkel brushed aside increasingly shrill calls from Spain and Italy on Wednesday for emergency action to lower their soaring borrowing costs. European Union leaders go into the two-day meeting beginning on Thursday evening more openly divided than at any time since a still-widening debt crisis erupted in early 2010 after Greece revealed its deficit and debt were far higher than reported. ...



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Sunday, June 24, 2012

Schaeuble says "no" to throwing money at euro crisis

Germany's Finance Minister Schaeuble talks to the media as he arrives to attend an eurozone finance ministers meeting in LuxembourgBERLIN (Reuters) - Throwing more money at the eurozone debt crisis will not solve the problem because the troubles have to be resolved at the cause, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said on Sunday. Schaeuble also said in an interview with German TV network ZDF that Greece has not done enough to fulfill promises it made in exchange for bailout funds. Schaeuble also criticized the recent interventions by U.S. President Barack Obama. "We have to fight the causes," Schaeuble said. ...



READ THE ORIGINAL POST AT news.yahoo.com

Wednesday, June 20, 2012

Europe gets lengthy homework assignment from G-20


CBC.ca

Europe gets lengthy homework assignment from G-20
MarketWatch
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The Group of 20 leaders presented a lengthy homework assignment to their European colleagues and said it was critical that some of the work be completed at the European Union summit meeting later this month.
Barack Obama 'confident' in eurozone crisis resolutionTelegraph.co.uk
World Leaders Weigh Stimulus Vs. Austerity at G-20ABC News
European Shares to Open Lower; Euro Zone Crisis Still WeighsCNBC.com
Houston Chronicle -New York Times
all 5,434 news articles »

READ THE ORIGINAL POST AT articles.marketwatch.com

Tuesday, June 19, 2012

David Cameron fears 'near perpetual stagnation' in eurozone

Prime minister says Britain must look to emerging economies for economic salvation

The eurozone crisis could continue for years, forcing Britain to look outside a stagnant euro area for fresh export markets and economic salvation in the emerging economies, David Cameron has said.

His gloomy assessment of "near perpetual stagnation" came as pressure continued on Spanish bond yields and stock markets reacted coolly to the narrow Greek vote to back pro-bailout parties in Sunday's elections.

Speaking to reporters accompanying him to the G20 summit in Los Cabos, Mexico, the prime minister said: "It may be that the eurozone crisis is going to continue for some time, in which case the UK must do all it can to put its own house in order and link up with the fastest growing parts of the world."

There was a serious danger eurozone leaders would be unable for political reasons to take the economic steps necessary to resolve the two-year-old crisis. Cameron regards banking union and a commitment to share debts between eurozone countries as indispensable, but possibly politically unobtainable.

He said: "It's difficult for the recipient countries. It's also very difficult for Germany. We have to understand the German difficulties.

"It is very difficult politically to take the steps that are required economically. We decided not to take those steps when we didn't join the euro.

"But nonetheless if you want a functioning single currency you have to take at least some of those steps. You need to have elements of banking union, fiscal transfers and so on."

He then sketched out three alternatives for the euro-area:

"Option one is that they take action to strengthen the eurozone, to make it more coherent. If this deals with the current problems it is clearly in their and our interests.

"Option two is enough financial action and just enough political and economic action to keep the show on the road, but without solving the fundamental problems.

"Option three is they don't take any of these steps and dominoes start to fall, which would have very severe financial consequences across the world and would seriously affect us."

Cameron, who believes the eurozone will muddle along on a path of slow growth, urged Greek politicians to quickly form a new government. He said: "The outcome of the Greek elections looks positive in terms of a clear commitment to staying in the eurozone and accepting the terms of the memorandum, but those parties that want that to happen cannot afford to delay and position themselves. If you are a Greek political party, and you want to say in the eurozone and you want to accept the consequences that follow from that in the memorandum, you have got to get on with it and help form a government to deliver that. I think delay could be very dangerous."

Britain accepts Greece may need more time to repay its loans.

Before travelling to Los Cabos, Cameron held a conference call with leading eurozone members attending the G20. A senior British diplomat described the call as displaying "a sense of purpose, in that it was a clear enough result to see that there could be a government that wants to stay in the euro and that is prepared to take the measures necessary to go with that.

"There was also a sense that this is a long, hard road that has got to be travelled. And there was a sense of urgency: right, we have had the election, now we need the government. That's where the questions need to go today."

Cameron would like to see some kind of banking union in the eurozone and the emergence of a system of transfer of resources within the euro area, possibly through euro bonds.

His aides say they expect further pressure to be put on Angela Merkel at the G20 summit, just as it was put on the German chancellor at the G8 summit in Washington last month. British officials stressed it had to be "constructive pressure".

Cameron is acutely aware that Merkel wants expectations lowered and that too many European politicians do the opposite at summits, leading to subsequent disappointment in the markets.

Barack Obama was meeting Merkel at the G20 summit separately, to seek an update on German thinking. The US president is also due to meet the key eurozone players – France, Germany, Italy and Spain. This quartet will meet in Italy on Friday ahead of a European council meeting next week.


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Monday, June 18, 2012

Favorable Greece Election No Salve for Stocks, Analysts say


Favorable Greece Election No Salve for Stocks, Analysts say
Wall Street Journal
NEW YORK--Voters in Greece staved off an imminent euro-zone exit over the weekend, but analysts said Greece remains a potential headwind for U.S. stocks ...


Greek Bank Deposit Outflows Said to Have Slowed After Elections


Greek Bank Deposit Outflows Said to Have Slowed After Elections
Businessweek
Greek deposit withdrawals slowed today after an election victory by the pro-bailout New Democracy party eased concern the nation will abandon the euro, three ...
Greek Stocks Rally to a One-Month High After ResultsBloomberg

all 5 news articles »

Greek target delay would entail more aid -ECB's Asmussen


Greek target delay would entail more aid -ECB's Asmussen
Reuters
BERLIN, June 18 (Reuters) - Greece will need even more financial support if it is given additional time to meet the fiscal targets set out in its EU/IMF bailout programme, a E uropean Central Bank policymaker said on Monday, putting the onus on ...
ECB's Asmussen Says Greece Needs More Aid If Given More TimeBloomberg
CORRECT: Asmussen:First Take Stock Where Greeks Are With Fiscal TargetsNASDAQ
ECB's Asmussen says too early to withdraw ECB supportCNBC.com
4-traders -Fox Business -MNI News
all 37 news articles »