Welcome, 77 artists, 40 different points of Attica welcomes you by singing Erotokritos an epic romance written at 1713 by Vitsentzos Kornaros
Thursday, March 13, 2014
From the Battle of Navarino to Cavafy, rare manuscripts go under the hammer
Metsovo authorities accused of squandering EU funds for mobile portal
Pharmacies closed Friday, Monday
One dies, three missing after immigrants' boat sinks off Symi
Greek American among dead in Harlem blast
Visiting British experts offer tips on waste management
Greece Faces Uphill Battle to Tackle Crisis
Greek Musician Who Worked in Advertising Among Dead in Blast
Athens University Closed “until further notice”
Former Ellinikon Airport in Rough Shape
‘Green Light’ for Private Events on Archaeological Sites
The Sell-Off Is Getting Worse (SPX, SPY, DIA, DJI, QQQ, TLT, GLD)
Global markets have taken a sharp turn lower after starting on a positive note this morning.
The S&P 500 index is down 1.3%, trading at 1844 — 2.1% below the all-time high set last Friday.
U.S. Treasuries are rallying hard, sending the yield on the 10-year note to 2.65%, eight basis points below Wednesday's closing levels.
"The ignition of the Russia/Ukraine situation has created the bid," said Tom Tucci, head of U.S. Treasury trading at CIBC World Markets, in an emailed note to clients shortly after noon. "Massive short covering in the last hour after yesterday's real money buying."
The release of mixed February U.S. retail sales data at 8:30 AM ET this morning caused Treasuries to drop briefly, sending yields slightly higher. The U.S. dollar strengthened a bit against the euro and the Japanese yen as well.
However, these moves were completely erased two hours later, and the dollar is now down 1.1% against the yen, trading around ¥101.60.
European indices closed deep in the red across the board. The German DAX took the worst of it, falling 1.9%. Peripheral government bond yields in Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Greece are rising.
Russia's MICEX equity index closed down 2%, and yields on local-currency government debt rose in Thursday trading. The Russian ruble is losing ground against the dollar.
The charts below show movements in various markets. Across the top from left to right are S&P 500 futures, the U.S. dollar-Japanese yen exchange rate, and the euro-U.S. dollar exchange rate. Across the bottom are gold futures, 10-year U.S. Treasury futures, and December 2015 eurodollar futures.
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Alpha forecasts Greek growth at 1.1 pct this year
Small drop possible in cruise market
Greek Parliament committee proposes lifting immunity of 2 GD MPs
Greek Policy on Olive Oil Labeling in Disarray
Burials in Greece linked to Macedonia kings
Greek-Catholic bishops call for a united free, democratic and pluralistic Syria
Greek extremist killer's biography sparks row
FTSE falls to five week low as Morrisons slumps, but Centrica climbs
Investors continue to be nervous over China, Ukraine and Fed tapering
On another down day for markets, with leading shares at a five week low, British Gas owner Centrica bucked the trend.
Its shares added 6.9p to 334.8p after an upbeat note on the business from analysts at HSBC. They said political risks were decreasing, helped by plans to focus investment on the US rather than UK, and there was hidden value in its upstream assets. With an overweight rating and 380p target price, they said:
It has been 12 months since Centrica's management announced a strategy announcement to focus investment on the US rather than the UK. This strategy was vindicated by the prospect of intervention in the UK supply market by the Labour party if elected to government in 2015 and the lack of political drive to offer attractive investment incentives for new gas-fired generation.At the full year results on 20 February, management pointed out that 20% of Centrica's customers are already on a fixed-price contract so progress has been made on encouraging customers to fix prices, which helps to mitigate political risk.Overall the FTSE 100 fell back for the fifth day running, down 67.12 points to 6553.78. More signs of a slowdown in China, with disappointing retail sales and factory output data, and a warning from premier Li Keqiang of severe challenges to the country's economy set the early downbeat tone. The continuing tensions in Ukraine ahead of a possible divisive referendum in Crimea on Sunday also unnerved investors, while good US data and comments from Federal Reserve nominee Stanley Fischer revived concerns about the Fed bringing its monthly bond buying programme to a gradual close. The US central bank releases its latest monthly update on Wednesday, and further tapering could well be on the cards.
Back in the UK, retailers were in the spotlight.
Morrisons slumped 27.8p or 12% to 205.2p after a new profit warning, with worries about a price war also hitting its rivals. J Sainsbury fell 28.3p to 304.9p and Tesco dropped 15.65p to 298.75p. The three supermarkets between them accounted for nearly 9 points of the FTSE 100's fall.
In contrast Home Retail, owner of Argos and Homebase, pleased investors with its trading update. It said pretax profit would be slightly ahead of current forecasts of £107m to £111m, helping push its shares up 10.3p to 215.4p. Homebase sales climbed 9.3% - a hefty increase which helped lift shares in Kingfisher, owner of the rival B&Q chain, by 4.5p to 407.4p.
Elsewhere Barclays was 1.9p better at 235.65p after a positive note from Numis:
Our Barclays recommendation is upgraded to add [from hold] and the target price is raised to 280p per share (from 274p). The investment case rests on: (i) improved gross leverage outlook; (ii) valuation upside; and (iii) a slowly improving European macro-economic outlook. Earnings downgrades reflect what is likely to be a weak first quarter for fixed income, currencies and commodities.G4S continued to fall after this week's results, down 4.5p to 228p. Panmure Gordon's Mike Allen said:
Post the analyst meeting, we have downgraded our 2014 and 2015 estimated earnings per share by 14%-15% to take account of foreign exchange, higher interest costs and contract specifics. The stock is currently trading on 17 times 2014 estimated earnings per share falling to 15 times in 2015, which looks rich to us given the execution risks that lie ahead. We are cutting our target price from 200p to 185p on the back of these downgrades, and maintain our sell recommendation on the stock.Vodafone fell 5.15p to 224.4p despite a recommendation from analysts at Barclays:
Investors in Vodafone face a dilemma. On the one hand the potential of a putative AT&T bid appears attractive, and the reported move to acquiring [Spanish cable company] Ono has clear industrial logic given synergies and [selling] opportunities in our view. However, wireless trends remain challenging, and recent commentary from AT&T would suggest a potential cooling. On balance we see upside risks outweighing downside, especially given the recent fall in the Vodafone share price. We reiterate overweight with a 260p price target.Among the mid-caps, gaming group Bwin.Party put on 4.5p to 126.6p after it said the summer World Cup should help it return to growth after problems in Greece and a move away from riskier markets hit its figures in 2013. Earnings fell to €108m from €165m, also hit by start up costs in New Jersey as it moves into the US to take advantage of deregulation there. Analysts said if management could not turn the business round, someone else might, noting that activist investor SpringOwl recently agreed to buy a 6.1% stake in Bwin.
Finally Circassia, an Oxford based allergy drug development firm, became the largest biotech flotation since at least 1995. The company raised £200m after setting its offer price at 310p a share, valuing the business at £581m. The company, which is bringing a vaccine against cat allergies to market, ended its first day of conditional dealings unchanged from the offer price.
CentricaMorrisonsJ SainsburyTescoHome RetailKingfisherBarclaysG4SVodafoneNick Fletchertheguardian.com © 2014 Guardian News and Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights reserved. | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More FeedsCypriot held after homes of bereaved robbed during funerals
Markets Are Sharply Lower (SPX, SPY, DIA, DJI, QQQ, TLT, GLD)
Global markets have taken a sharp turn lower after starting on a positive note this morning.
The S&P 500 index is down 0.7%, trading at 1854 — 1.5% below the all-time high set last Friday.
U.S. Treasuries are rallying hard, sending the yield on the 10-year note to 2.66%, 7 basis points below Wednesday's closing levels.
"The ignition of the Russia/Ukraine situation has created the bid," says Tom Tucci, head of U.S. Treasury trading at CIBC World Markets. "Massive short covering in the last hour after yesterday's real money buying."
The release of mixed February U.S. retail sales data at 8:30 AM ET this morning caused Treasuries to drop briefly, sending yields slightly higher. The U.S. dollar strengthened a bit against the euro and the Japanese yen as well.
However, these moves were completely erased two hours later, and the dollar is now down 1.0% against the yen, trading around ¥101.70.
European indices closed deep in the red across the board. The German DAX took the worst of it, falling 1.9%. Peripheral government bond yields in Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Greece are rising.
Russia's MICEX equity index closed down 2%, and yields on local-currency government debt rose. The Russian ruble, however, is nearly unchanged against the dollar.
The charts below show movements in various markets. Across the top from left to right are S&P 500 futures, the U.S. dollar-Japanese yen exchange rate, and the euro-U.S. dollar exchange rate. Across the bottom are gold futures, 10-year U.S. Treasury futures, and December 2015 eurodollar futures.
Join the conversation about this story »
Lenten Recipe 15: Homemade Thin Mint Cookies with Ion Greek Chocolate
Around this time of year, everyone starts to get a craving for Girl Scout cookies. Thin mints are my weakness, but when I started reading nutrition labels, I was disappointed that such a great organization allowed questionable ingredients into their cookies. So, these are quite similar to the thin mints. For strict fast, use the […]
The post Lenten Recipe 15: Homemade Thin Mint Cookies with Ion Greek Chocolate appeared first on The National Herald.
Greek B.B.Q and Kefi on Smokey Thursday
ASTORIA – Although the Greek-Orthodox world in now deep into the lenten season, the preparations traditionally include some great Greek parties. The Chian Cultural Center was filled with the friends of Hellenic Public Radio Cosmos-FM for its annual Tsiknopempti event. In English it is called Barbecue Thursday or SmokeyThursday but in Greece, in places like Patras, […]
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Greece Moves On Russian Gas Concerns With Pipeline Project
Chance of rapture between the Greek government and troika
Two men killed by collapsed wall in Agrinio
Athens university shut down 'until further notice' due to clashes between police, vendors
Ex-Minister’s Wife In Kickback Probe
The wife of former defense minister Yiannos Papantoniou has been summoned by an investigating magistrate probing a growing defense scandal.
The post Ex-Minister’s Wife In Kickback Probe appeared first on The National Herald.
Schumer Announces USDA Greek Yogurt Pilot Program Will Expand to 12 States Starting in September, Including New York
Greek Unemployment Hits New Record
Five New Royal Tombs Discovered in Vergina
Revision Shows Greek Recession at 7% in 2012
Joint Military Exercises for Greek and American Army
Why the European Central Bank should buy American
US treasury securities could be the answer to ECB's dilemma on how to ease monetary policy without risking legal challenge
The European Central Bank needs to ease monetary policy further. Eurozone-wide inflation, at 0.8%, is below the target of "close to 2%", and unemployment in most countries remains high.
Under current conditions, it is hard for the periphery countries to reduce their costs to internationally competitive levels, as they need to do. If inflation in the eurozone as a whole is below 1%, the periphery countries are condemned to suffer painful deflation.
The question is how the ECB can ease policy, given that short-term interest rates are already close to zero. Most of the talk in Europe concerns proposals to undertake quantitative easing (QE), following the path taken by the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. This would mean expanding the money supply by buying member countries' government bonds – a realisation of the ECB president Mario Draghi's "outright monetary transactions" scheme, announced in August 2012 in the midst of growing uncertainty about the euro's future (but never used since then).
But QE would present a problem for the ECB that the Fed and other central banks do not face. The eurozone has no centrally issued and traded Eurobond that the central bank could buy. (And the time to create such a bond has not yet come.) By purchasing bonds of member countries, the ECB would be taking implicit positions on their individual creditworthiness.
That idea is not popular with the eurozone's creditor countries. In Germany, ECB purchases of bonds issued by Greece and other periphery countries are widely thought to constitute monetary financing of profligate governments, in violation of the treaty under which the ECB was established. The German constitutional court believes that the outright monetary transactions scheme exceeds the ECB's mandate, though it has temporarily tossed that political hot potato to the European court of justice.
The legal obstacle is not merely an inconvenience; it also represents a valid economic concern about the moral hazard that ECB bailouts present for members' fiscal policies in the long term. That moral hazard – a subsidy for fiscal irresponsibility – was among the origins of the Greek crisis in the first place.
Fortunately, interest rates on Greek and other periphery-country debt have fallen sharply over the last two years. Since he took the helm at the ECB, Draghi has brilliantly walked the fine line required to "do whatever it takes" to keep the eurozone intact. (After all, there would be little point in upholding pristine principles if doing so resulted in a breakup, and fiscal austerity alone was never going to return the periphery countries to sustainable debt paths.) At the moment, there is no need to support periphery-country bonds, especially if it would flirt with illegality.
What, then, should the ECB buy if it is to expand the monetary base? For several reasons, it should buy US treasury securities. In other words, it should go back to intervening in the foreign-exchange market.
For starters, there would be no legal obstacles. Operations in the foreign-exchange market are well within the ECB's remit. Moreover, they do not pose moral-hazard issues (unless one thinks of the long-term moral hazard that the "exorbitant privilege" of printing the world's international currency creates for US fiscal policy). Finally, ECB purchases of dollars would help push down the euro's exchange rate against the dollar.
Such foreign-exchange operations among G7 central banks have fallen into disuse in recent years, partly owing to the theory that they do not affect exchange rates except when they change money supplies. But in this case we are talking about an ECB purchase of dollars that would change the euro money supply. The increase in the supply of euros would naturally lower their price. Monetary expansion that depreciates the currency is more effective than monetary expansion that does not, especially when, as is the case now, there is very little scope for pushing short-term interest rates much lower.
Depreciation of the euro would be the best medicine for restoring international price competitiveness to the periphery countries and reviving their export sectors. Of course, they would devalue on their own had they not given up their currencies for the euro 10 years before the crisis (and if it were not for their euro-denominated debt). If abandoning the euro is not the answer, depreciation by the entire eurozone is.
The euro's exchange rate has held up remarkably during the four years of crisis. Indeed, the currency appreciated further when the ECB declined to undertake any monetary stimulus at its meeting on 6 March. Thus, the euro could afford to weaken substantially. Even Germans might warm up to easy money if it meant more exports.
Central banks should and do choose their monetary policies primarily to serve their own economies' interests. But proposals to co-ordinate policies internationally for mutual benefit are fair. Raghuram Rajan, the governor of the Reserve Bank of India, has recently called for the advanced economies' central banks to take emerging-market countries' interests into account via international co-operation.
ECB foreign-exchange intervention would fare well in this regard. This year, the emerging economies are worried about a tightening of global monetary policy, not the policy loosening that three years ago fuelled talk of "currency wars." As the Fed tapers its purchases of long-term assets, including US treasury securities, it is a perfect time for the ECB to step in and buy some itself.
Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2014.
European Central BankEuropean UnionEuropean monetary unionEconomicsEuropeMario DraghiQuantitative easingInterest ratesBank of EnglandFederal ReserveUS economyJeffrey Frankeltheguardian.com © 2014 Guardian News and Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights reserved. | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More FeedsIs There Growth or Is it Just Plain Wishful Thinking?
Court hands life sentence to 58-year-old woman for 2009 murder
Greek Jobless Rate Hits 27.5%
Official figures show the unemployment rate in Greece increased to 27.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2013 as the economy struggled to emerge from a protracted recession.
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Greek Man Missing in Deadly N.Y. Building Blast, 7 Killed, 60 Hurt
As investigators probe the cause of an explosion that leveled two East Harlem buildings, killing six and injuring more than 60, a Greek-American man was reported among the missing. Andreas Panagopoulos, 42, had not been heard of by friends and family since the blast.
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Asylum Claims Soar 21% in Greece
Already overwhelmed by waves of immigrants from Africa, the Middle East, Irag, Afghanistan and Syria, Greece now is having to deal with a spike in asylum requests.
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Samaras Digs In Heels Against Troika
Prime Minister Antonis Samaras, defying the country's international lenders, said he will keep his promise to return most of a coming primary surplus to austerity victims.
The post Samaras Digs In Heels Against Troika appeared first on The National Herald.
Opportunity for Young Unemployed in Village, Northern Greece
Greek jobless rate hits record in Q4 despite easing recession
Greek joblessness at record level, reaching 'cyclical peak,' according to ...
Greek journalist-turned-politician rides anti-establishment wave
Greek unemployment rate hits 27.5%
Home Retail higher after sales rise at Argos and Homebase but Morrisons slumps
Retailers in focus but show mixed fortunes, while FTSE 100 struggles for direction
Morrisons may be taking much of the attention after its share price fall in the wake of a profit slump, but it is not the only retailer in the spotlight.
In contrast to the supermarket group Home Retail, owner of Argos and Homebase, has pleased investors with its trading update. It said pretax profit would be slightly ahead of current forecasts of £107m to £111m, helping push its shares up 10.5p to 215.6p. This is better than a prediction of profits at the top end of a range between £90m and £109m made only in January.
Like for like sales at Argos rose 5.2%, with strong demand for televisions and consoles. The company is revamping Argos from a catalogue based business to increased digital sales, and boosting its in-store collection service.
Meanwhile Homebase sales climbed 9.3% - a hefty increase which has helped lift shares in Kingfisher, owner of the rival B&Q chain, by 9.5p to 412.4p. Indeed Kingfisher and Home Retail are the leading risers in the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 respectively.
Freddie George at Cantor Fitzgerald said:
The trading update for the eight weeks to March 1 was better than expected both for Argos and Homebase. Following this update, we are increasing our 2014 pre-tax profit forecast from £107m to £112m taking earnings per share up from 9.4p to 9.8p and making similar revisions to our subsequent 2015 forecasts. We were impressed with the first sight of the new Argos format, which is currently being rolled out. We are, however, retaining our hold recommendation on the stock but increasing our target price to 215p from 205p in view of the earnings upgrade. We believe 1) initiatives are factored into the valuation, 2) private equity is now less likely to take an interest attracted by the strong balance sheet and 3) AO, a recent IPO, will likely start to make 'inroads' into the Argos electrical categories.But Morrisons is proving a drag on the markets, currently 15.4p or nearly 7% lower at 217.6p after a 13% drop in annual profits to £785m. The news has also pushed J Sainsbury down 19.7p to 313.5p and Tesco 8.5p lower to 305.9p, with fears of a price war growing. Clive Black at Shore Capital said:
Morrison's weak trade, collapse of trade in recent months, represents a change in industry circumstances. The gross margin environment is now much less robust and the downgrade cycle may therefore be greater and more prolonged; making for a sector that remains unloved because stable and visible profits are needed for the sector to re-rate. As such the sector discounts to the FTSE-All Share and General Retailers in likely to persist.Even so the FTSE 100 has managed to edge up 2.23 points to 6623.13, despite yet more poor Chinese data - factory output and retail sales - pointing to a slowdown in the country's economy. The continuing tensions in Ukraine are also making investors nervous, while later come US retail sales and weekly jobless numbers which will give a snapshot of the country's economy.
Elsewhere gaming group Bwin.Party has put on 3.8p to 125.9p after it said the summer World Cup should help it return to growth after problems in Greece and a move away from riskier markets hit its figures in 2013. Earnings fell to €108m from €165m, also hit by start up costs in New Jersey as it moves into the US to take advantage of deregulation there. Nick Batram at Peel Hunt issued a buy note, saying:
Full year numbers were as bad as expected but 2013 should represent the nadir in the Group's fortunes. However, if management fail to deliver the anticipated recovery in 2014, it is possible that others will try.One surprise was the decline in net cash to €63.8m (€96.7m) – we were expecting broadly flat. However, on the positive front the full year dividend was raised to 3.6p (3.44p). The company has also said that it intends to dispose of non-core assets and return any excess cash to shareholders.Activist investor SpringOwl recently agreed to buy a 6.1% stake in Bwin.
Home RetailKingfisherMorrisonsJ SainsburyTescoNick Fletchertheguardian.com © 2014 Guardian News and Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights reserved. | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds