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Tuesday, August 20, 2013

If Greece needs a third bailout Europe had better find a formula that sticks

A better approach would see Greece's lenders take more pain up-front – but is Germany prepared to support that?

So, Greece will soon need a third bailout. German finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble admitted as much on Tuesday – and was even prepared to say so during the pre-election period in Germany. One assumes Schäuble deemed it safe to dive into these politically contentious waters only because he also stuck to the party line that Athens would receive no more debt forgiveness.

What a shame. If a third bailout is required the time has come for the euro-powers to find a formula that sticks. A small loan package, to fill the hole already identified by the International Monetary Fund, would represent another dose of medicine that isn't working. The Greek economy, weighed down by austerity measures, would stumble along for a while – but a fourth package would loom sooner or later.

A better approach would see Greece's lenders take more pain up-front – get the debt down to manageable levels and hope to see economic growth reduce the burden further. Is Germany, after the election, prepared to support that idea? If it's not, we'll be talking about a fresh eurozone crisis by the end of the year.

Eurozone crisisEuropeGreeceGermanyNils Pratleytheguardian.com © 2013 Guardian News and Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights reserved. | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds


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