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Wednesday, October 3, 2012

4 Greek Stocks To Consider For Big Profits


4 Greek Stocks To Consider For Big Profits
Seeking Alpha
Greeks are facing the biggest economic turbulence in recent history. Almost every day, images of Greek riots travel around the world spreading the news of a collapsed economy. Analysts and decision makers are very much concerned about how long is this ...


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Greek hopes fade for quick deal on austerity cuts

ATHENS (Reuters) - Greece's hopes of striking a deal with its lenders before euro zone finance ministers meet next week dimmed on Wednesday, when officials admitted the two sides disagree on how much the economy will contract in 2013 - a key figure in their calculations.







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Greece, Troika Remain Apart on Cuts


AFP

Greece, Troika Remain Apart on Cuts
Wall Street Journal
ATHENS—Greece's efforts to clinch a deal with its international creditors on a package of cuts by the end of this week are under threat, with the government saying Wednesday that a "fairly big" gap still separates the country from its lenders, while a ...
Greece-troika talks on good path, deal still sought: finance ministerReuters
Greece to reach EU-IMF breakthrough by Monday: ministerAFP
One Step Forward, Two Back for Greece on DebtCNBC.com
NEWS.com.au -Chicago Tribune -Bloomberg
all 774 news articles »

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Greece Learns Nothing, Dumps $37 Million Into Formula One Racetrack

Greek cost-cutting measures include $4.9 million taken out of pensions and another $1.4 million in salary reductions. Apparently that doesn't mean much to the Greek officials who agreed to dump nearly $40 million into building a racetrack for a league that has neither a team nor a driver from Greece.

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Memo to Bill Gross: The US Is Not Greece


iStockAnalyst

Memo to Bill Gross: The US Is Not Greece
Investorplace.com
Now, in his October note, Gross tells us a lot of what we already knew and, unfortunately, throws a sop to the gold bugs with the fatuous canard that the U.S. is in danger of becoming Greece. The Greece thing? Again? “Well, Armageddon is not around the ...
Despite What Bill Gross Says, The U.S. Is Not GreeceSeeking Alpha
Japan, Britain, Greece, Spain And France All Join us in The Ring Of FireiStockAnalyst
US's $60 Trillion Debt Burden Rivals That of Greece: GrossCNBC.com
Reuters
all 58 news articles »

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Greek Finance Minister: Differences With Troika Are Big


Greek Finance Minister: Differences With Troika Are Big
ForexLive (blog)
Greek Finance Minister: Differences With Troika Are Big. By Market News International || October 3, 2012 at 17:10 GMT. || 0 comments || Add comment. ATHENS (MNI) – Greece's Finance Minister Giannis Stournaras said. Wednesday that the gap between his ...

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Third Point's Loeb bets big, and wins, on Greek debt


Third Point's Loeb bets big, and wins, on Greek debt
Reuters
Greek government bonds in top 5 positions for Loeb's fund. * Fund rose 3.4 pct in September, up 10.9 pct YTD. By Katya Wachtel. NEW YORK, Oct 3 (Reuters) - Hedge fund manager Daniel Loeb built a major position in distressed Greek government bonds in ...
Third Point's Daniel Loeb Reveals New Positions, Including Greek Government ...NASDAQ

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Troika sticking point: Greek growth forecast too optimistic


The Guardian

Troika sticking point: Greek growth forecast too optimistic
ForexLive (blog)
The Troika is forecasting a 5% contraction in Greek GDP next year while the Greek government is using a decline of 3.8% for their forecast., according to Reuters. That's one of the issues that is preventing an agreement between the two sides. Share and ...
Forex Flash: Greek deal may stall until mid October – Deutsche BankNASDAQ
Greek FinMin Trying to work out differences with TroikaFXstreet.com

all 151 news articles »

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Michael Nevradakis: A Conversation with Agni Vlavianos-Arvanitis of the Biopolitics International Organization

Some of the world's foremost thinkers are often those who remain outside the limelight. One such thinker is Professor Agni Vlavianos-Arvanitis, the president and founder of the Biopolitics International Organization, based in Athens.

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Greek Protests Turn Weird With Baby Swap

ATHENS, Oct 3 (Reuters) - Dozens of angry Greek parents handed over their children to bewildered officials on Wednesday in a symbolic protest against the...

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Troika sees Greek economy slumping by 5 percent in 2013: Greek source

ATHENS (Reuters) - The European Commission, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund troika expect Greece's economy to contract by 5 percent next year, more than the government's 3.8 percent forecast, a senior finance ministry official said on Wednesday. "There is disagreement on the macroeconomic scenario, we project a recession near 4 percent, they (troika) at 5 percent," said the official who declined to be named. He said both sides were still trying to find common ground on 2.5 billion euros worth of austerity measures to be applied next year. (Reporting by Renee Maltezou)

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AstraZeneca gains on acquisition talk but FirstGroup loses 21% after West Coast chaos

Drugs giant tipped for a deal after halting share buyback programme, with Forest Laboratories mentioned again

AstraZeneca's surprise move on Monday to halt its share buyback programme has prompted talk that the pharmaceuticals group could have its eyes on an acquisition to boost its drug pipeline.

A number of possible targets have been mentioned in the past and some of them are being rolled out again in the wake of the decision by new chief executive Pascal Soriot to preserve cash. US group Forest Laboratories is one name tipped for a possible deal - not for the first time. The two have some overlap in the areas of treatments for depression, asthma, and cardiovascular diseases.

With a price of $50 a share suggested, any move on Forest would cost Astra more than $10bn to complete.

Analyst Savvas Neophytou at Panmure Gordon cut his recommendation on Astra from buy to hold, partly on concerns the company might leap into takeover action:

The timing of [the buyback] announcement and strategic rationale (building M&A war chest) remains puzzling. We do not believe there is anything sinister at play but, in a best case scenario, an M&A overhang has been placed on the shares which necessitates our downgrade.

Reading between the lines, the probability of a 'strategic' (cf. dilutive) acquisition has increased significantly. This will be welcomed by many US based investors looking for some 'vision' but many more recent investors attracted by the company's shareholder distribution credentials will be left somewhat bemused in our view.

Astra closed 14.5p higher at £29.08.

Overall investors remained cautious amid the continuing eurozone crisis, awaiting news of any Spanish bailout and the outcome of the tortuous Greek budget talks with its international creditors. Reasonable US data, including jobs numbers ahead of Friday's non-farm payroll figures, provided some support in late afternoon. So the FTSE 100 finished 16.36 points higher at 5809.45.

International Airlines Group, the owner of British Airways and Iberia, saw its shares take off after a positive update for September.

The month's traffic figures showed a 5.1% rise compared to a year ago, with premium traffic up by 8%. Within that BA rose 7.6% but Iberia - hit by the economic problems in Spain - fell 0.8%. The airline group said:

Underlying market conditions remain unchanged from guidance given at the second quarter results. Trading conditions at our London hub remain firm. Performance at Madrid continues to be impacted by weak economic conditions, with short haul traffic particularly affected.

The shares - up 4.7p to 163.7p - were also lifted by the continuing hope that Qatar Airlines would join its Oneworld alliance, as well as talk the Qataris could be interested in the 12% stake in IAG held by Spain's Bankia Fondos - a consequence of the merger of Iberia and BA.

Meanwhile Easyjet climbed 21p to 615p after the low-cost operator said its profits received a boost from Britons fleeing the wet summer weather or deciding on a late break after the London Olympics. So it now expected profits of £310m to £320m for the year, up from earlier estimates of £280m to £300m.

Still with transport, FirstGroup shares plunged nearly 21% - down 50.6p to 193.4p - following the shock news the government had halted the award of the West Coast franchise to the company over irregularities in the bidding process. The move followed complaints from the existing franchise holder Virgin Rail, which is part owned by Stagecoach, up 5.5p at 288.8p.

Elsewhere outsourcing group Capita fell 12.5p to 763p after losing out on a key contract when the Criminal Records Bureau is replaced in a few months with a new service. The CRB is to merge with the Independent Safeguarding Authority to form the Disclosure and Barring Service by the end of the year, with the new service fully operational next March. Capita has been working with the CRB for ten years, but the Home Office is now in talks with another supplier, believed by analysts at Shore Capital to be Tata.

Schroders slipped 6p to £15.37 after UBS downgraded its rating on the asset management firm from neutral to sell. Smith and Nephew dipped 5p to 686p as Morgan Stanley moved from overweight to equal weight.

But a more positive analyst note send British Gas owner Centrica heading in the opposite direction. Its shares added 6.2p to 334p after Citigroup upgraded from neutral to buy with a 360p price target.

Two contrasting performances from two of Britain's biggest supermarkets after their updates. Tesco lost 8.75p to 327.95p, while J Sainsbury jumped 5.7p to 352.5p.

Elsewhere Xstrata added 1.8p to 968.4p and Glencore rose 1.15p to 339.15p after the European Commission said it would decide on the two companies' proposed merger by 8 November.

Among the mid-caps, pharmaceutical group BTG added 30.1p to 363.2 after it said first half trading had been above expectations, with strong demand for its antivenom CroFab during the summer snake-biting season in the US and a good US launch for its cancer toxicity drug Voraxaze. It raised its full year revenue guidance from £190m-£200m to £205m-£215m, and said it was working towards a US application for its varicose vein treatment Varisolve at the end of the year. Analyst Brian White at Shore Capital issued a buy note, saying:

Raising revenue guidance for the second time in six months, BTG continues to successfully re-orientated its business to focus on building a US direct selling capability. Whilst a little light on detail, the trading statement clearly demonstrates that BTG's product portfolio continues to perform well on a number of fronts, boding well for the second half and beyond. We believe the key to growth and further operating leverage lies in management's ability to drive revenues by leveraging the sales platform through the successful introduction of Varisolve (if approved) and to augment its portfolio by successfully acquiring new products.

AG Barr fell 3.2p to 450.8p and Britvic lost 1.4p to 365p after the two were granted an extension to the deadline for announcing a formal merger until 31 October "to consider further the various related aspects" of the deal. Panmure Gordon analyst Damian McNeela said:

We believe that this news represents a slight surprise, given that the companies had already agreed shareholder terms and board composition, but continue to feel that the merger is likely to go ahead. A key consideration is likely to be the level of cost synergies that the combined entity should be able to target. Until we have further details on the likely structure and potential synergy targets of the merger we maintain our hold recommendations on both stocks.

McNeela said the discussions were likely to revolve around, among other things " the extent to which AG Barr's Magna Park expansion in Milton Keynes can be utilised to allow the rationalisation of Britvic's existing manufacturing facility. We would argue that a range of £12m to £20m of gross cost savings should be achievable from the removal of duplication in the merged entity, and believe that further gross synergies of up to £60m could be achieved from the full utilisation of Magna Park, but accept that our initial £150m "blue sky" synergy target on reflection looks to be too ambitious."

Lower down the market, struggling oil rig maker Lamprell issued its fourth profit warning since May, prompting its chairman to call for a change of senior management.

The company has been beset by problems relating to a contract for two windfarm vessels, with late delivery leading to spiralling costs. Now it has also admitted to delays on a separate construction project, meaning it will not receive revenues or profits until 2013, rather than this year. Its shares slumped 40p to 70p - a 36% decline.

Finally Halfords edged up 0.4p to 266p ahead of Thursday's trading update, with talk it may be close to announcing a new chief executive. David Wild left in July after a sharp fall in sales, but analyst Nick Bubb said there were hopes the group would benefit from the Bradley Wiggins effect and the upsurge of interest in cycling after the Tour de France and Olympics. He said:

Sales of other leisure categories and car enhancement will be rubbish, as usual, but overall the market is expecting total retail like for like sales to be down by "only" 1%-2%.


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How Fage Lost the Greek-Yogurt War


AdAge.com

How Fage Lost the Greek-Yogurt War
AdAge.com
It's not Chobani, the hot brand of Greek yogurt in America. It's Fage with more than 25% market share in Greece. Vivartia is No.2. Furthermore, Fage was the first brand of Greek yogurt introduced in the America market. Fage arrived in 1998, nine years ...


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Greek Parents Hand Over Children During Anti-Austerity Protest


Greek Parents Hand Over Children During Anti-Austerity Protest
Huffington Post
ATHENS, Oct 3 (Reuters) - Dozens of angry Greek parents handed over their children to bewildered officials on Wednesday in a symbolic protest against the abolition of tax breaks for large families as part of cuts demanded by foreign lenders. "Here you ...

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Russia accuses al-Qaida of 'forest jihad' in Europe

Forest fires in EU countries should be considered part of al-Qaida's new strategy, says Russia's top security official

Russia's top security official has alleged that al-Qaida was waging "forest jihad" in Europe by sparking the wildfires that have ravaged the continent in recent summers.

"Forest fires in EU countries should be considered one of the new trends in al-Qaida's 'thousand cuts' strategy," Alexander Bortnikov, the head of the Federal Security Service, told a security conference in Moscow on Wednesday, Russian news agencies reported.

"This approach allows them to inflict significant damage on the economy and morale without any serious preparation, technical equipment or financial losses," he said.

He cited talk of "forest jihad" on various extremist websites and forums as evidence of the strategy.

Fire outbreaks in forests across Europe have become a yearly phenomenon, often blamed on human negligence. This year tens of thousands of hectares of land were set ablaze across Spain Portugal, the Balkans and southern Europe. Some 2,000 people were evacuated from their homes in Spain last week as strong winds fuelled uncontrollable fires.

Environmentalists quickly dismissed Bortnikov's claim. "There isn't the slightest doubt that the human factor is the cause of the fires in the Mediterranean," Nikolai Shmatkov, a forest expert at the Moscow office of the World Wildlife Fund, told the Interfax news agency. "How involved al-Qaida is in this, how much they need to focus their forces not against the Americans, but against the Greeks and Spaniards, I can't say. I'm sceptical."

Russians also reacted with shock. "And when Russia's forests and peat bogs were burning in 2010, what was that? Also al-Qaida? And this summer in Siberia – was that also part of this 'thousand cuts' strategy?" asked Anton Orekh, a journalist at the liberal radio station, Ekho Moskvy.

While Bortnikov provided no proof, his theory reflects public discussions among Islamic extremists. The summer issue of Inspire, the online propaganda publication run by al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula devoted 11 pages to starting forest fires in Nato countries, including instructions. "Fire is one of the soldiers of Allah," it said.

"Imagine that, after all the damage is caused, if a jihad organisation were to take responsibility for the forest fires," it said. "You can imagine the dread it would cause people in the United States, Europe, Russia, and Australia."


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Greece-troika talks on good path, deal still sought: finance minister


CNBC.com

Greece-troika talks on good path, deal still sought: finance minister
Reuters
ATHENS (Reuters) - Greece's talks with international lenders to reach an agreement on an 11.5 billion euro austerity package are progressing well, the country's finance minister said on Wednesday. "Discussions with the troika (EU/ECB/IMF) are on a good ...
One Step Forward, Two Back for Greece on DebtCNBC.com
Stournaras Unsure Troika, Greece Deal Completed Before EU SummitBloomberg
Greek finance minister hopeful of more bailout funds by end-October: BildChicago Tribune
Yahoo! News (blog) -Wall Street Journal
all 728 news articles »

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Greek finance minister hopeful of more bailout funds by end-October: Bild


New York Times

Greek finance minister hopeful of more bailout funds by end-October: Bild
Reuters
BERLIN (Reuters) - Greek Finance Minister Yannis Stournaras expects the troika of international lenders to deliver its report on Greece in mid-October and is optimistic Athens will get a new tranche of aid by the end of October, according to a German ...
The Greek RulesWall Street Journal
Greek Government Proposes Deep Cuts in Bid to Please Foreign LendersNew York Times
Greek Budget Predicts Economy Will Shrink for Sixth YearBusinessweek
Greek Reporter -ACTmedia
all 728 news articles »

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Forex Flash: Greek deal may stall until mid October – Deutsche Bank


The Guardian

Forex Flash: Greek deal may stall until mid October – Deutsche Bank
NASDAQ
FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Overnight, Greece commenced a new round of talks with the troika to discuss differences over €2.0bn of budget cuts. The Greek finance minister said he was unsure if a deal with the Troika can be completed by the Eurogroup ...
ECB open to extending maturities on some Greek debt- MNIForexLive (blog)

all 146 news articles »

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SocGen in Exclusive Talks with Piraeus Bank for Greek Unit Sale


Investment Europe

SocGen in Exclusive Talks with Piraeus Bank for Greek Unit Sale
Wall Street Journal
Societe Generale and Credit Agricole bought their Greek bank interests in the last decade, hoping to gain entry into a promising new region. Greece was then an attractive market. Its economy was growing at twice the rate of the rest of Europe and it ...
Societe Generale in talks to sell Greek subsidiaryBusinessweek
French bank Societe Generale in talks to sell Greek subsidiary Geniki to ...Washington Post
Societe Generale in talks to sell Geniki unit to Piraeus BankReuters
Reuters India
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Societe Generale in talks to sell Greek subsidiary

French bank Societe Generale said Wednesday that it was in discussions to sell its Greek subsidiary Geniki to Greece's Piraeus Bank.

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