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Monday, January 6, 2014
Photo man warming self in D.C. reunites son with family in New York
Food labelling should be priority for Greek presidency
Greek official admits corruption on procurements dating to 1980s
Orthodox Christians and Greek Catholics celebrate Christmas Eve
Greek architecture inspires art project for Nelson students
Greek Finance Minister Blames Eurozone
Der Spiegel Lashes Out Against Greece
Eurozone
Gay couples protest against Bishop Seraphim at Epiphany ceremony in Piraeus
Life imitates art: Syrian refugees stage Greek tragedy in Jordan
Samaras, Venizelos Confront Complaints
ATHENS – As Greece is poised to formally assume the symbolic, rotating six-month European Union Presidency with a ceremony this week, Prime Minister Antonis Samaras and his coalition partner, PASOK Socialist leader Evangelos Venizelos will meet on Jan. 6 to discuss how to quell growing political unrest over a growing number of issues. Samaras, the […]
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Greek Sports Funding Cut 50%
ATHENS – Hopes of fielding an Olympic team for 2016 that will do better than the disastrous performance at the 2012 London games have likely been dashed after the government said it would cut funding in half for the sports federations. The agencies overseeing athletes will receive state funding of 12 million euros for 2014, […]
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Greece Vows Corruption Punished
ATHENS – After years of impunity for high-profile wrongdoers, the Greek government has sworn once again that it will not tolerate corruption, with officials pointing to a series of prosecutions and jailings as proof, including politicians from both the ruling parties of Prime Minister and New Democracy Conservative leader Antonis Samaras and his partner, the […]
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Why Hunky CEOs Make for Hot Stocks
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5 Reasons To Be Wary Of The Euro Zone In 2014
LONDON (Reuters) - Last year was the least tumultuous for the euro zone since Greece revealed a vast hole in its books back in 2009.
The consensus is that 2014 will be just as calm - a view held by some who were predicting the currency bloc's demise little more than a year ago.
The political will to keep the show on the road has held firm, the European Central Bank's pledge to underpin the euro continues to stave off bond market pressure and there is the prospect of economies growing at least a little.
Spain, Italy and Portugal are all emerging from recession and Greece should follow suit this year.
Yet there are plenty of reasons to be cautious.
EU ELECTIONSHigh unemployment, austerity fatigue and still anemic growth offer the perfect backdrop for fringe parties to prosper at May's European parliamentary elections.
Some pundits predict a group of anti-euro parties including the National Front in France, Britain's UKIP, Syriza in Greece and the Dutch Freedom Party could capture 20 percent or more of the seats.
That could pressure the EU's main party groups to tack right and challenge Europe's ability to integrate further given new powers the parliament will have to rule on the majority of EU legislation.
"It could pull mainstream parties into more euroskeptic positions and complicate both the appointment of a new European Commission (due later in the year) and the task of passing banking union-related legislation," said Alastair Newton, senior political analyst at Nomura Securities.
BANK STRESSThat the EU has fallen short of its initial plans for a banking union to prevent future financial crises is plain.
For several years at least, the buck for a failing bank will ultimately stop with national governments, leaving the "doom loop" ensnaring weak banks and indebted sovereigns unbroken.
The ECB will publish health tests of Europe's biggest banks prior to taking over their supervision in November.
The scope for a major shock is limited given the extent to which banks have already recapitalized. Still, lending is likely to remain constrained until the tests are complete - hampering economic recovery - and the structure of banking union as it now exists could allow a future crisis to blow up.
GERMAN COURTThe main reason to be cheerful about the euro zone is the markets' unwillingness to test the ECB's safety net. Any hole in that would change the terms of the game at a stroke.
Germany's Constitutional Court will rule soon on the ECB's bond-buying program, its as yet unused mechanism to protect the euro zone.
The history of the Karlsruhe-based court has not been to reject outright any crisis-fighting measures though it has bestowed greater levels of scrutiny upon Germany's Bundestag.
But if it did take the nuclear option, the bond market could declare open season on the currency bloc's weaker members once more, pushing it back into crisis.
REFORM ZEALThe ECB has consistently said it is buying time for countries to put their houses in order by curbing debts and enacting economic reforms needed to thrive in the 21st century.
The main flashpoints are Italy, which has stagnated for a decade and has a coalition government which may lack the cohesion to respond, and France which is teetering on the edge of a new recession.
"France remains the only major European economy which is beset by serious health problems and has not yet done much about it," Berenberg Bank said in its annual review of the euro zone.
President Francois Hollande used his New Year address to offer companies lower labor taxes if they hire more workers. But with his popularity levels at record lows, a radical leap is unlikely.
Austerity fatigue is most potent in Greece, the country that sparked the debt crisis.
Its coalition government refuses to countenance more cuts and will need some form of debt relief to put its finances on a sustainable path at a time when its parliamentary majority is down to just three seats and the anti-bailout Syriza opposition is ascendant in the polls.
DEFLATIONIf deflation took hold - a big if - that would pose the direst threat of all, raising the prospect of a Japan-style lost decade and making national debts even harder to pay off.
A plunge in euro zone inflation to just 0.7 percent prompted the ECB to cut interest rates in November but many of its members are viscerally opposed to the sort of money printing that finally breathed life into Japan's economy.
"We must take care that we don't have inflation stuck permanently below 1 percent and thereby slip into the danger zone," ECB chief Mario Draghi said last week.
Even without deflation, any slippage in debt-cutting and structural reforms may require further action from the ECB.
The history of the euro zone crisis shows that while policymakers lose their sense of urgency when the pressure diminishes, they rush to bolster their defenses when the heat comes on and have consistently done so just in time.
"2014 stands to be more challenging and dangerous for euro zone financial markets than the surprisingly calm 2013," said
Russell Jones, economist at Llewellyn Consulting in London.
"(But) predictions of the euro area's imminent demise have proved systematically wide of the mark."
(Editing by Susan Fenton)
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UK manufacturing tipped for strongest growth in Europe
EEF predicts sector will grow 2.7% this year, compared with 1.6% in Germany and 0.7% in France
Britain's manufacturers will enjoy faster growth than those in Germany or any other western European economy this year from rising demand at home and abroad, according to a report.
In its annual survey of companies, manufacturers' organisation EEF found 70% of firms forecast an improvement in the economy in 2014, while just 5% thought conditions would deteriorate. The balance of 65% compares with the sombre outlook at the same time last year when the reading was just 7%.
The balance expecting a good year for manufacturing is 52% – up from zero this time last year.
"Manufacturers are telling us they expect to make a greater contribution to growth, investment and jobs this year," said EEF's chief executive Terry Scuoler.
The EEF, along with the thinktank Oxford Economics, has forecast that the British manufacturing sector, which accounts for 10% of the economy, will grow 2.7% this year. That puts it ahead of all other western European countries in the thinktank's forecasts. German manufacturing is expected to pick up by 1.6% with France at just 0.7%, level with Spain and just of Greece at 0.4%.
Austria and Belgium are also expected to pick up strongly with growth of 2.4%
Manufacturers' caution at the start of last year now appears justified however with the sector now forecast by the EEF to have contracted 0.1% during 2013. The sector is still some 9% below its pre-recession level, said the group's chief economist Lee Hopley. "We are not yet where we want to be," she said. "There is still lots to do."
But the evidence from the sector was more positive for this year, including signs the pick-up in momentum was broad-based, she said.
"The sectoral difference is not as stark as a year ago. We were quite reliant on the transport sector to do a lot of the heavy lifting for the manufacturing sector over 2013... This year it should be more evenly spread," she said.
But the manufacturers' group also warned of risks from many sides as the sector strives to make up for the sharp contraction in recent years. The survey of 200 senior executives said uncertainty had become the "new normal" after the shocks of recent years when demand dwindled in the UK's key export market, the eurozone.
For the year ahead they are worrying about energy prices, being held back by the prolonged hollowing out of the UK's supply base and pressure for pay rises as skills shortages continue to bite.
The survey also suggested business investment will finally start to grow again this year.
Some 60% of companies said they planned to invest moderately or significantly in the UK. Signs that large companies are ready to start spending some of the cash piles they have been sitting on while smaller firms are prepared to borrow to expand reflect a brighter outlook for sales. Two-thirds of companies expect domestic sales to increase and, 55% of companies expect their exports to increase. The Middle East stands out as an increasingly favoured market for UK manufacturers while they are also more upbeat about the eurozone.
Despite the generally positive outlook painted by the survey and other recent indicators from the sector, the EEF said three quarters of manufacturers believe "economic uncertainty is the new norm".
Manufacturers' general optimism was echoed in a separate report suggesting Britain's biggest companies plan to increase investment and hire more workers in 2014.
The latest poll of 122 chief financial officers by consultants Deloitte also found almost half of respondents – 49% – said Bank of England governor Mark Carney's policies had boosted confidence in the UK's economic outlook. Just 3% said confidence had been dented and the rest saw no effect.
Companies' appetite for risk was the highest since the quarterly survey started six years ago and 70% of those surveyed said they expect businesses to increase hiring in 2014.
Ian Stewart, chief economist at Deloitte, said the survey showed finance chief were starting 2014 "in buoyant mood with a focus on expansion, investment and hiring.". This bodes well for the broad-based recovery policymakers hope to see in 2014."
"Large corporates have good access to capital and CFOs are more positive about financing their business with equity and bonds than at any time in the last six years. But in a sign that banks are lending once again CFOs rate bank lending as the most attractive form of finance for their business for the first time since 2008."
Manufacturing sectorEconomicsKatie Allentheguardian.com © 2014 Guardian News and Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights reserved. | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More FeedsDiving for tradition: Greek Orthodox celebrate
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Global House Prices: Castles Made Of Sand
Monetary policy may call an end to the house-price party
House prices are now rising in 18 of the 23 countries we track across the globe, compared with just 12 a year ago. America tops our table: the Case-Shiller index released on New Year’s Eve reported price increases of 13.6% in the year to October 2013. Homes have risen in value by 24% since their March 2012 trough, but they remain 20% below their peak in April 2006.
Builders started work on over 1m new homes in America in the year to November, for only the second time since the financial crisis ended. But this is far short of the 2.3m recorded in January 2006, and below the long-run average of 1.5m. In all, American property is enjoying a recovery but not a bubble.
The Federal Reserve’s decision to start tapering its buying of bonds with newly-created money (ie, to scale back the policy commonly known as quantitative easing, or QE) by $10 billion to $75 billion a month from January may take some wind out of house sales. Although mortgage rates are rising, thanks to higher bond yields, housing remains affordable. Prices are now at or around fair value according to The Econo mist’s measure, which compares prices with the long-run average of rents and personal incomes.
Prices in Britain increased at their fastest rate for three years in October, fuelling fears of a housing bubble (and subsequent crash), particularly in London where prices increased by 12%. Although by our measure housing is overvalued against both rents and income, Britain did not suffer a housing crash on the scale of America’s, largely because supply is so tight. Britain’s government scrapped house-building targets in 2010. Projections of new-household formation suggest 290,000 new homes will need to be built every year through to 2031. But in the 12 months to March 2013 housing completions fell to 135,000, their lowest level since records began in 1949.
The north-south divide in the euro area continues: in Greece, Spain and Italy house prices declined by between 5% and 10%. However, the market has finally bottomed out in Ireland: after halving over six years, prices are now 9% above their March low. Prices in Germany, which has the lowest home-ownership rate in the EU at 53%, are rising at the fastest rate since reunification, although housing is still undervalued against both rents and income.
Brazil, which hosts the football World Cup in June, is also having a housing boom. Prices increased 13% in the 12 months to November and in Rio, which hosts the Olympics in 2016, they have trebled since 2008. Fears grow of a bubble in China, led by overdevelopment and low occupancy. According to The Economist’s index, based on official figures from 70 Chinese cities, prices increased by 8.7% in the year to November 2013. India may follow suit: prices across 15 cities with a total population of 100m increased 7% in the third quarter of 2013. But Canada appears to have been successful in cooling its market: its house-price inflation has reduced to 3.4%, though homes still look expensive.
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Pessimism rules in Greece
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Olympiakos Owner Feels the Love
ASTORIA – The Greek soccer team Olympiakos soccer team, based in Piraeus, is renowned in the soccer world and naturally has fans throughout Greece and the Hellenic diaspora. On January 3 its owner and president, Greek ship owner Evangelos Marinakis visited the team’s clubhouse in Astoria, thanking its fans and sketching the team’s plans for […]
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Special Needs Students Bridge of Life
ATHENS – For kindergarten teacher Sophia Fokianou, 48, a new after-school volunteer program to help students with special needs, such as her 18-year-old daughter, has been a life saver. “It was a big relief for me … a dream come true,” Fokianou told Southeast European Times. The Bridge of Life volunteer center opened in the […]
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Exploring Athens: the Brettos Distillery in Plaka is a Century-Old Tradition
Hundreds of colorful bottles propped up against the walls of cozy Brettos Distillery in Plaka set the mood for a special drinking experience. Founded by Michael Brettos in 1909, the distillery is known for producing ouzo, brandy, and various liquors using old-fashion recipes from Smyrni, including classics like masticha, cherry, and peppermint flavors. Here, visitors […]
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Simitis Says EU Sacrified Greece
ATHENS – Former Greek Prime Minister and one-time PASOK Socialist leader Costas Simitis, who ushered his country into the Eurozone, now says it’s been sacrificed to preserve the financial bloc and said that the debt – to which his party contributed with needless hirings – can’t be sustained. In an interview with the newspaper To […]
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ND Deputy Faces Breach of Duty Charge
ATHENS – Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras’ shaky coalition government, that has only a three-vote majority, faces another challenge after one of his New Democracy Conservative party lawmakers has been charged with breach of duty in a case involving a bad loan given to a company by prefectural officials when he was serving with them. […]
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Hospital Fee Flap Tests Greek Coalition Standing
ATHENS – After surviving a series of crucial tests over unpopular austerity measures, Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras’ shaky coalition now faces a battle as his partner, PASOK Socialist chief Evangelos Venizelos, is under siege from critics in his party, and a possible vote over whether to reverse a 25 euro hospital admission fee that […]
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'American Property Is Enjoying A Recovery But Not A Bubble'
Monetary policy may call an end to the house-price party
House prices are now rising in 18 of the 23 countries we track across the globe, compared with just 12 a year ago. America tops our table: the Case-Shiller index released on New Year’s Eve reported price increases of 13.6% in the year to October 2013. Homes have risen in value by 24% since their March 2012 trough, but they remain 20% below their peak in April 2006.
Builders started work on over 1m new homes in America in the year to November, for only the second time since the financial crisis ended. But this is far short of the 2.3m recorded in January 2006, and below the long-run average of 1.5m. In all, American property is enjoying a recovery but not a bubble.
The Federal Reserve’s decision to start tapering its buying of bonds with newly-created money (ie, to scale back the policy commonly known as quantitative easing, or QE) by $10 billion to $75 billion a month from January may take some wind out of house sales. Although mortgage rates are rising, thanks to higher bond yields, housing remains affordable. Prices are now at or around fair value according to The Econo mist’s measure, which compares prices with the long-run average of rents and personal incomes.
Prices in Britain increased at their fastest rate for three years in October, fuelling fears of a housing bubble (and subsequent crash), particularly in London where prices increased by 12%. Although by our measure housing is overvalued against both rents and income, Britain did not suffer a housing crash on the scale of America’s, largely because supply is so tight. Britain’s government scrapped house-building targets in 2010. Projections of new-household formation suggest 290,000 new homes will need to be built every year through to 2031. But in the 12 months to March 2013 housing completions fell to 135,000, their lowest level since records began in 1949.
The north-south divide in the euro area continues: in Greece, Spain and Italy house prices declined by between 5% and 10%. However, the market has finally bottomed out in Ireland: after halving over six years, prices are now 9% above their March low. Prices in Germany, which has the lowest home-ownership rate in the EU at 53%, are rising at the fastest rate since reunification, although housing is still undervalued against both rents and income.
Brazil, which hosts the football World Cup in June, is also having a housing boom. Prices increased 13% in the 12 months to November and in Rio, which hosts the Olympics in 2016, they have trebled since 2008. Fears grow of a bubble in China, led by overdevelopment and low occupancy. According to The Economist’s index, based on official figures from 70 Chinese cities, prices increased by 8.7% in the year to November 2013. India may follow suit: prices across 15 cities with a total population of 100m increased 7% in the third quarter of 2013. But Canada appears to have been successful in cooling its market: its house-price inflation has reduced to 3.4%, though homes still look expensive.
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Join the conversation about this story »